Statement
Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time. In probability, this means the events have no overlap. For example, when rolling a dice, the outcomes “rolling a 2” and “rolling a 5” are mutually exclusive — only one can occur in a single roll. The rules are:
\[
P(A \cap B) = 0, \quad P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)
\]
Here, \(A \cap B\) represents “both A and B”, while \(A \cup B\) represents “A or B”.
Why it’s true
- If two events cannot happen together, the probability of them both occurring at once must be 0.
- The probability of either occurring is just the sum of their separate probabilities, since there is no overlap to subtract.
Recipe (how to use it)
- Identify whether the events are mutually exclusive.
- Write down \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\).
- For “A and B”: answer is 0.
- For “A or B”: add \(P(A) + P(B)\).
Spotting it
Typical signs of mutually exclusive events are phrases like “cannot happen at the same time”, “either-or outcomes”, or cases where events are clearly separate (such as rolling a dice or drawing a single card).
Common pairings
- Coin toss: “heads” and “tails”.
- Dice roll: two different numbers.
- Card draw: drawing a heart or drawing a spade in one draw.
Mini examples
- Given: \(P(A)=0.3\), \(P(B)=0.5\), and A, B are mutually exclusive. Find: \(P(A \cup B)\). Answer: \(0.3 + 0.5 = 0.8\).
- Given: When rolling a dice, \(P(2)=1/6\), \(P(5)=1/6\). Find: probability of rolling a 2 or 5. Answer: \(1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 = 1/3\).
Pitfalls
- Adding probabilities when events are not mutually exclusive (e.g., drawing a heart and a red card — they overlap).
- Forgetting to check whether events can happen simultaneously.
- Misusing the multiplication rule for independent events instead of addition rule here.
Exam strategy
- Look for keywords: “mutually exclusive”, “either A or B, not both”.
- If asked for “A and B” in mutually exclusive cases, the answer is always 0.
- Keep probabilities between 0 and 1 — never above 1 when adding.
Summary
Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot occur at the same time. Their probability rules are simple: the intersection is always 0, and the union is the sum. Recognising mutually exclusive events helps avoid double-counting in probability problems.