Listing Outcomes

Listing outcomes involves writing all possible results of an event. This ensures no possibilities are missed when calculating probability and helps form a complete set of outcomes for the experiment. It builds directly on basic probability.

Overview

Listing outcomes means writing down all the possible results of an event or experiment.

This is one of the most important basic probability skills.

Probability = \( \frac{\text{number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{total number of outcomes}} \)

If outcomes are missed or repeated, the probability will be incorrect, so it is important to work systematically and stay organised.

What you should understand after this topic

  • Understand what an outcome is
  • List all possible outcomes without missing any
  • Use a list of outcomes to calculate probabilities
  • Work with one-step and two-step events
  • Understand when order matters

Key Definitions

Outcome

A single possible result of an experiment.

Event

A result or group of results that we are interested in.

Favourable Outcome

An outcome that matches the event we want.

Total Outcomes

All the possible results altogether.

Systematic List

A list written in a clear order so nothing is missed or repeated.

Sample Space

The full set of all possible outcomes.

Key Rules

List in order

Be systematic so you do not miss any outcomes.

Do not repeat

Each different outcome should appear once only.

Check if order matters

\( HT \) and \( TH \) may count as different outcomes.

Count carefully

Use the full list to count total and favourable outcomes.

Quick Examples of Outcome Lists

One coin

\( H, T \)

One dice

\( 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 \)

Two coins

\( HH, HT, TH, TT \)

Spinner

List every section once.

How to Solve

Step 1: Understand listing outcomes

Listing outcomes means writing every possible result of an experiment.

The full list of outcomes is called the sample space.
Exam tip: You must include every outcome exactly once.

Step 2: Understand the experiment

Decide what is happening in the question.

Exam thinking: More steps → more outcomes.

Single event

One coin or one dice.

Two events

Two coins or two dice.

Step 3: List outcomes systematically

Write outcomes in a clear pattern to avoid missing any.

Fix the first part

Keep the first result the same while changing the second.

Use a pattern

List all outcomes before moving on.

Avoid repetition

Each outcome should appear only once.

Step 4: Count outcomes

Count the total number of outcomes.

This is the denominator of the probability.

Step 5: Find favourable outcomes

Identify outcomes that match the event.

Count these to form the numerator.

Step 6: Order matters

In multi-step experiments, order can matter.

\( HH,\ HT,\ TH,\ TT \)
\( HT \neq TH \) because the order is different.
Exam tip: Treat each position separately.
Listing outcomes for two coins showing HH, HT, TH and TT where order matters

Step 7: Two-event listing method

For two events, list systematically using pairs.

Start with the first result fixed (e.g. H),
List all possibilities for the second result,
Then move to the next first result.
This idea links directly to tree diagrams, which organise outcomes visually.

Step 8: Calculate probability

\( \text{Probability} = \dfrac{\text{Favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} \)
Simplify the fraction where possible.
See probability basics for more.

Example Questions

Edexcel

Exam-style questions inspired by Edexcel GCSE Mathematics, focusing on listing outcomes and using them to find probabilities.

Edexcel

A coin is tossed once. List all the possible outcomes.

Edexcel

A fair dice is rolled once. List all the possible outcomes.

Edexcel

A coin is tossed twice. List all the possible outcomes.

Edexcel

A coin is tossed twice. Find the probability of getting exactly one head.

AQA

Exam-style questions based on the AQA GCSE Mathematics specification, focusing on systematic listing and equally likely outcomes.

AQA

Sam has one red card, one blue card and one green card. He chooses one card at random. List all the possible outcomes.

AQA

A spinner has four equal sections labelled A, B, C and D. The spinner is spun once. List all the possible outcomes.

AQA

A fair dice is rolled once. Find the probability of rolling a number greater than 4.

AQA

A fair dice is rolled once. Find the probability of rolling an even number.

OCR

Exam-style questions aligned with OCR GCSE Mathematics, emphasising complete lists of outcomes and simple probability reasoning.

OCR

A coin is tossed and a fair dice is rolled. List all the possible outcomes.

OCR

A coin is tossed and a fair dice is rolled. Find the probability of getting a head and an even number.

OCR

A bag contains one red counter, one yellow counter and one blue counter. Two counters are chosen without replacement. List all the possible ordered outcomes.

OCR

Two counters are chosen without replacement from one red counter, one yellow counter and one blue counter. Find the probability that one of the counters is red.

Exam Checklist

Step 1

Work out exactly what experiment is happening.

Step 2

List every possible outcome in a clear order.

Step 3

Count the total number of outcomes carefully.

Step 4

Count how many outcomes match the event.

Most common exam mistakes

Missing outcomes

Not writing the full sample space.

Repeating outcomes

Counting the same result more than once.

Order mistake

Forgetting that order can matter in multi-step events.

Wrong count

Counting favourable outcomes incorrectly after listing them.

Common Mistakes

These are common mistakes students make when listing outcomes in GCSE Maths.

Missing outcomes

Incorrect

A student does not include all possible results.

Correct

List outcomes systematically to ensure none are missed. Use a table or organised list to cover every possibility.

Repeating outcomes

Incorrect

A student writes the same outcome more than once.

Correct

Each outcome should appear only once. Check your list carefully to avoid duplicates.

Ignoring order when it matters

Incorrect

A student treats outcomes like AB and BA as the same.

Correct

If order matters, AB and BA are different outcomes. Always check whether the situation depends on order.

Counting favourable outcomes incorrectly

Incorrect

A student identifies the correct outcomes but counts them wrongly.

Correct

After listing outcomes, count carefully. Double-check your totals to avoid simple errors.

Using an incomplete list

Incorrect

A student calculates probability from a partial list.

Correct

Probability depends on all possible outcomes. If the list is incomplete, the probability will be incorrect.

Try It Yourself

Practise listing outcomes systematically in probability problems.

Questions coming soon
Foundation

Foundation Practice

List all possible outcomes in simple situations.

Question 1

A coin is flipped once. How many possible outcomes are there?

Games

Practise this topic with interactive games.

Games coming soon.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are outcomes?

Possible results.

Why list systematically?

To avoid missing cases.

What helps?

Tables or diagrams.